Increasing Concurrent Drought Probability in Global Main Crop Production Countries

نویسندگان

چکیده

Understanding concurrent drought events in global main croplands is crucially important for food security, effective adaptation to climate change and human well-being. Yet, there a lack of comprehensive studies on probability changes among crop production countries scale, especially the future. Here, we studied 26 time period 1861–2099. During historical period, moderate severe was relatively low, maximum will double triple under RCP8.5 extreme climate, respectively. Concurrent between China United States America, Brazil Russia be at least 6% 5% RCP8.5, respectively, compared with zero period. Limiting RCPs RCP2.6 can decrease 2% (at 3% RCP8.5).

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1944-8007', '0094-8276']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl097060